Hurricane CARLOS
ZCZC MIATCMEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042009
1500 UTC TUE JUL 14 2009
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 127.5W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 30SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 127.5W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.9N 127.3W
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 10.2N 128.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 10.5N 130.2W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 10.9N 131.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 11.2N 133.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 12.0N 138.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 12.0N 144.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 12.0N 150.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.0N 127.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN