Hurricane CARLOS
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HURRICANE CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042009
1500 UTC SUN JUL 12 2009
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 121.0W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 45SW 45NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 121.0W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 120.4W
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 10.5N 122.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 10.7N 125.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 10.9N 127.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 45SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 11.2N 129.6W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 45SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 12.0N 134.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 45SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 13.0N 138.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 13.5N 142.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.4N 121.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
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FORECASTER LANDSEA/FRANKLIN
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