Tropical Depression CARLOS
ZCZC MIATCDEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS DISCUSSION NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042009
800 AM PDT THU JUL 16 2009
CARLOS HAS A SMALL AND POORLY-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION BUT IS
STILL PRODUCING SOME DEEP CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM IS ON THE VERGE OF
BECOMING A REMNANT LOW...AND WILL LIKELY BE DECLARED AS SUCH LATER
TODAY.
THE INITIAL MOTION IS NEAR 270/14. A GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOLLOWING THE LOW-LEVEL EASTERLIES UNTIL THE
SYSTEM DISSIPATES.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 16/1500Z 9.8N 135.0W 25 KT
12HR VT 17/0000Z 9.8N 136.9W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 17/1200Z 10.0N 139.3W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 18/0000Z 10.0N 141.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 18/1200Z 10.0N 144.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED
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FORECASTER PASCH
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