Tropical Storm ANDRES
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TROPICAL STORM ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022009
1500 UTC MON JUN 22 2009
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM
LAZARO CARDENAS TO MANZANILLO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.
AT 800 AM...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH
FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO
CORRIENTES. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
AT 800 AM...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM
LAZARO CARDENAS TO ZIHUATANEJO HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANDRES.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 102.0W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 90SE 60SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 102.0W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 101.9W
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 16.7N 102.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 30NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 17.8N 103.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.0N 104.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 20.0N 106.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 21.5N 108.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 22.0N 111.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 22.0N 116.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 102.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BRENNAN
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