Tropical Storm IDA

ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM IDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25              
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112009               
0300 UTC TUE NOV 10 2009                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       X      12      27      NA      NA      NA      NA
TROP DEPRESSION 20      50      42      NA      NA      NA      NA
TROPICAL STORM  72      35      26      NA      NA      NA      NA
HURRICANE        8       3       5      NA      NA      NA      NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1        7       3       4      NA      NA      NA      NA
HUR CAT 2        X       X       1      NA      NA      NA      NA
HUR CAT 3        X       X       X      NA      NA      NA      NA
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X      NA      NA      NA      NA
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X      NA      NA      NA      NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   40KT    30KT    25KT    NA      NA      NA      NA  
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ATLANTA GA     34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
TAMPA FL       34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34  1   2( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34  5   4( 9)  10(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
ST MARKS FL    34  4   4( 8)   8(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
APALACHICOLA   34  8   5(13)   6(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
APALACHICOLA   50  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
APALACHICOLA   64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34  5   4( 9)   5(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
GFMX 290N 850W 50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34 18   5(23)   5(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
PANAMA CITY FL 50  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
PANAMA CITY FL 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
COLUMBUS GA    34  4   6(10)   6(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
MONTGOMERY AL  34 20  10(30)   2(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
 
PENSACOLA FL   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PENSACOLA FL   50  9   3(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
PENSACOLA FL   64  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
GFMX 290N 870W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
MOBILE AL      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MOBILE AL      50 15   2(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
MOBILE AL      64  2   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GULFPORT MS    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GULFPORT MS    50  5   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
BURAS LA       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
GFMX 280N 890W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
JACKSON MS     34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34  5   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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