Hurricane FRED

ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
0900 UTC FRI SEP 11 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  35.1W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  45SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  35.1W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  35.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 17.9N  35.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 18.0N  34.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 18.2N  34.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 18.6N  34.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 20.0N  37.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 21.5N  42.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 22.5N  47.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N  35.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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