Hurricane FRED

ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
1500 UTC THU SEP 10 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  35.1W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  45SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  35.1W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  34.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.5N  35.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 18.0N  35.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 18.2N  35.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 18.6N  34.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 20.5N  35.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 22.0N  38.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 24.0N  42.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N  35.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
NNNN