Hurricane FRED

ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
0900 UTC THU SEP 10 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  34.6W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  45SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  34.6W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  34.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 16.6N  35.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 17.4N  35.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 17.9N  34.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 18.2N  34.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 19.5N  34.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 21.5N  35.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 23.0N  39.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N  34.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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