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Hurricane FRED


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HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
0300 UTC THU SEP 10 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  33.7W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  33.7W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  33.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.2N  34.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.1N  34.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 17.8N  34.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 18.4N  34.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 19.5N  33.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 22.0N  35.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 23.5N  38.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N  33.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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