Hurricane BILL

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HURRICANE BILL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032009
2100 UTC THU AUG 20 2009
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.  A HURRICANE WATCH
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  63.2W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT.......100NE  45SE  30SW  90NW.
50 KT.......130NE 105SE  60SW 105NW.
34 KT.......225NE 200SE 120SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..440NE 320SE 350SW 375NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  63.2W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N  62.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 25.6N  65.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT...100NE  45SE  30SW  90NW.
50 KT...130NE 105SE  60SW 105NW.
34 KT...225NE 200SE 120SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 28.3N  67.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT...100NE  45SE  30SW  90NW.
50 KT...130NE 105SE  60SW 105NW.
34 KT...225NE 200SE 120SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 31.0N  68.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT...100NE  45SE  30SW  90NW.
50 KT...130NE 105SE  60SW 105NW.
34 KT...225NE 200SE 120SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 34.5N  69.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.
34 KT...225NE 200SE 120SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 42.5N  64.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 100NW.
34 KT...225NE 225SE 120SW 180NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 49.0N  49.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 53.5N  24.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N  63.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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