Tropical Storm BILL

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TROPICAL STORM BILL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032009
0900 UTC SUN AUG 16 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N  37.2W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  25SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N  37.2W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N  36.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 11.8N  39.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 12.5N  41.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 13.4N  44.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 14.3N  47.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.5N  53.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...105NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 19.0N  58.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 22.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N  37.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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