Tropical Depression ANA
ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009
1500 UTC MON AUG 17 2009
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED 4 12 17 20 27 32 38
TROP DEPRESSION 64 51 45 40 33 26 25
TROPICAL STORM 31 36 35 37 36 37 32
HURRICANE 1 2 3 4 5 5 5
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 1 1 2 3 4 4 4
HUR CAT 2 1 X X 1 1 1 1
HUR CAT 3 X X X X X X 1
HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30KT 30KT 30KT 30KT 30KT 30KT 25KT
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7)
JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) 2(12)
ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 4(12) 1(13)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) 1(12)
FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 3(13) 1(14)
W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 3(14) 1(15)
W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 2(17) 1(18)
MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
MIAMI FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) 2(17) 1(18)
MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
MARATHON FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 2(14) 1(15)
KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KEY WEST FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
MARCO ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 4(16) 2(18)
MARCO ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
MARCO ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 4(15) 2(17)
FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
FT MYERS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 4(14) 2(16)
VENICE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 5(13) 2(15)
TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) 2(13)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9)
ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10)
APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 2(11)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8)
COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 2(11) 1(12)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) 2(13) X(13)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 1(15) 2(17) X(17)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) 1(11) X(11)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MAYAGUANA 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GRAND TURK 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8)
ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
PUERTO PLATA 34 1 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
PONCE 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
NNNN
NHC on Facebook
Twitter
YouTube
NHC Blog: