Tropical Storm ANA
ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009
0900 UTC SUN AUG 16 2009
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED 2 2 5 5 10 24 31
TROP DEPRESSION 32 20 23 21 23 29 26
TROPICAL STORM 65 72 65 59 51 41 36
HURRICANE 2 6 7 15 16 6 7
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 1 5 6 12 13 5 5
HUR CAT 2 X X 1 2 3 1 1
HUR CAT 3 X 1 X 1 1 X 1
HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35KT 40KT 40KT 45KT 30KT 30KT 30KT
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6)
MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8)
MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9)
KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11)
MARCO ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7)
FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7)
VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 1(11)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 4(13) 1(14)
GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 2(15) X(15)
MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) X(15) X(15)
GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11)
ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9)
CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 2(12)
CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) 1(15)
CAMAGUEY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 2(20) 1(21)
GUANTANAMO BAY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
GUANTANAMO BAY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6)
MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9)
KINGSTON 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) 1(10)
LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 1(19) X(19)
LES CAYES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LES CAYES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 21(23) 1(24) X(24)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) 1(21) X(21)
CAPE BEATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CAPE BEATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 22(26) X(26) X(26)
PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) 12(12) 16(28) X(28) X(28)
SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SANTO DOMINGO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
PONCE 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 25(31) 3(34) X(34) X(34)
PONCE 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PONCE 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 21(28) 2(30) X(30) X(30)
SAN JUAN 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) 14(14) 12(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27)
SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAINT CROIX 34 X 1( 1) 20(21) 12(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34)
SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X 2( 2) 18(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X 3( 3) 30(33) 1(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BARBUDA 34 X 5( 5) 20(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
ANTIGUA 34 X 9( 9) 26(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
ANTIGUA 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GUADELOUPE 34 X 13(13) 25(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
GUADELOUPE 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GUADELOUPE 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
AVES 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 3(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
AVES 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
DOMINICA 34 X 8( 8) 10(18) X(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19)
DOMINICA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MARTINIQUE 34 X 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SAINT LUCIA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
NNNN
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