ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172008 200 PM PDT FRI OCT 24 2008 SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION HAS BECOME POORLY DEFINED. ADDITIONALLY...THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED TO THE POINT THAT SAB DEEMED THE SYSTEM TOO WEAK TO CLASSIFY AT 1800 UTC. AS A RESULT...THE SYSTEM NO LONGER MEETS THE CRITERIA TO BE CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 25 KT BASED ON THE ASSUMPTION THAT THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED SINCE THE QUIKSCAT PASS EARLIER THIS MORNING. THE CIRCULATION IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN GRADUALLY OVER THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS BEFORE DISSIPATING. THE FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY TO ACCOUNT FOR A MORE SOUTHERLY INITIAL POSITION AND MORE WESTWARD COMPONENT TO THE SHORT TERM MOTION NOW THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS FULLY DECOUPLED. FOLLOWING THE SHALLOW BAM MOST CLOSELY...A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TONIGHT AND SATURDAY BEFORE THE REMNANT LOW DISSIPATES. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/2100Z 15.8N 107.3W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 12HR VT 25/0600Z 16.3N 108.3W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 25/1800Z 16.9N 109.6W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 26/0600Z 17.3N 111.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN/FRANKLIN NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Tuesday, 21-Apr-2009 12:09:47 UTC