ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162008 1100 AM PDT SAT OCT 11 2008 ...ODILE APPROACHING THE COAST OF MEXICO WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY...AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE ALMOST THERE... A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM ZIHUATANEJO TO MANZANILLO. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS EFFECT FROM TECPAN DE GALEANA TO MANZANILLO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1100 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.4 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES...100 KM...WEST OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO AND ABOUT 180 MILES... 295 KM...SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ODILE IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. A CONTINUED MOTION TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A TURN TO THE WEST AT A SLOWER SPEED EXPECTED ON SUNDAY. THE FORECAST TRACK TAKES THE CENTER OF ODILE VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST OF MEXICO...AND ONLY A SLIGHT DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT OF THE EXPECTED TRACK WOULD BRING THE CENTER ONSHORE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST... ONLY A SMALL INCREASE IN THE WINDS COULD BRING ODILE TO HURRICANE STATUS. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING ODILE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. ODILE COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 1100 AM PDT POSITION...17.5 N...102.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA NNNN
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