Tropical Storm NORBERT

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TROPICAL STORM NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152008
1500 UTC SUN OCT 05 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 101.9W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 101.9W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 101.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 14.8N 102.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 15.2N 104.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.6N 105.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.1N 106.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 17.0N 108.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 19.0N 111.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 21.5N 112.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 101.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
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FORECASTER RHOME
 
 
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