Tropical Depression LOWELL

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOWELL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  17A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132008
1100 PM PDT WED SEP 10 2008
 
...LOWELL NEARING THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD
TO CABO SAN LUCAS.  THIS WATCH WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED EARLY
THURSDAY. 
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 PM PDT...0600Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION LOWELL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE
110.7 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES...95 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ABOUT 65 MILES...110
KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF LA PAZ MEXICO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH...17
KM/HR.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF LOWELL WILL BE MOVING OVER
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA OVERNIGHT.  LOWELL IS
FORECAST TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OVER THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON THURSDAY...AND MOVE INTO
MAINLAND MEXICO THURSDAY NIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS LOWELL INTERACTS WITH BAJA
CALIFORNIA.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
LOWELL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL THROUGH
THURSDAY ACROSS SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF
THE STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA IN MAINLAND MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE ISOLATED
FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN.
 
REPEATING THE 1100 PM PDT POSITION...23.3 N...110.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
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