Tropical Storm LOWELL

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TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132008
0300 UTC TUE SEP 09 2008
 
INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
LOWELL.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 112.5W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE   0SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  90SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE  90SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 112.5W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 112.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 20.9N 113.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 21.7N 113.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  75SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 22.7N 113.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  75SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 23.7N 112.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  45SE  30SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 24.9N 111.8W...INLAND OVER SRN BAJA
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  45SE  30SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 26.0N 111.0W...OVER GULF OF CALIFORNIA
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 27.3N 109.9W...DISSIPATING INLAND OVER MEXICO
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 112.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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