Tropical Storm HERNAN

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TROPICAL STORM HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092008
0900 UTC THU AUG 07 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 114.0W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 114.0W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 113.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 15.1N 115.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 15.8N 117.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.5N 119.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 17.2N 121.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 18.5N 125.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 19.0N 128.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 19.5N 131.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 114.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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