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Tropical Depression GENEVIEVE


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TROPICAL DEPRESSION GENEVIEVE DISCUSSION NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082008
800 AM PDT SUN JUL 27 2008

GENEVIEVE HAS BEEN WITHOUT DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER SINCE
LATE YESTERDAY AND NO LONGER MEETS THE DEFINITION OF A TROPICAL
CYCLONE.  THEREFORE THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY.  THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 25 KT AND A CONTINUED SLOW WEAKENING OF THE
SYSTEM IS LIKELY IN A STABLE ATMOSPHERE OVER COOL WATERS.   

THE SKELETAL REMAINS OF GENEVIEVE ARE HEADED WESTWARD AT ABOUT 11
KT.  LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED OR HEADING IS EXPECTED AS THE
REMNANT LOW MOVES ALONG IN THE LOW-LEVEL TRADES.  NONE OF THE
MODELS SHOW A CLOSED CIRCULATION WITH THIS SYSTEM BY 48 HR...SO THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST WILL SHOW A DISSIPATION OF THE REMNANT LOW AT
THAT TIME. 
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      27/1500Z 17.0N 124.9W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 12HR VT     28/0000Z 17.1N 126.6W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     28/1200Z 17.3N 128.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     29/0000Z 17.6N 130.3W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     29/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
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