ZCZC MIATCDEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION GENEVIEVE DISCUSSION NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082008 200 AM PDT SUN JUL 27 2008 GENEVIEVE IS JUST ABOUT DONE AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE. IN FACT...SINCE DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN ABSENT FOR MORE THAN EIGHT HOURS...IT REALLY DOES NOT QUALIFY AS ONE NOW...BUT IN THE UNLIKELY EVENT THAT SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION REFIRES THIS MORNING...ADVISORIES WILL BE CONTINUED A LITTLE LONGER. QUIKSCAT AT 02Z RETRIEVED 30-35 KT WINDS...AND WITH THE CYCLONE IN THE SPIN-DOWN CYCLE...THERE ARE PROBABLY NO MORE WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE NOW. THE ADVISORY INTENSITY IS SET TO 30 KT...WHICH IS CONSISTENT WITH A BLEND OF THE 06Z DVORAK T AND CI NUMBERS. THE MAXIMUM WINDS SHOULD WEAKEN SOME MORE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE CIRCULATION EXPENDS ENERGY OVER COOLER WATERS AND WITHIN A STABLE ENVIRONMENT. THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL SWIRL IS HEADED DUE WESTWARD OR 270/10...AND LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED OR HEADING IS EXPECTED AS THE REMNANT LOW MOVES ALONG IN THE EASTERLY TRADES. A CLOSED CIRCULATION COULD PERSIST FOR A FEW MORE DAYS...SO THE TRACK FORECAST EXTENDS OUT TO 96 HOURS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/0900Z 16.8N 123.5W 30 KT 12HR VT 27/1800Z 16.9N 125.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 28/0600Z 17.2N 127.1W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 28/1800Z 17.5N 128.9W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 29/0600Z 17.7N 130.4W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 30/0600Z 18.0N 133.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 31/0600Z 18.0N 137.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER KNABB NNNN
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Page last modified: Tuesday, 21-Apr-2009 12:09:37 UTC