Tropical Depression SEVEN-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072008
1500 UTC WED JUL 16 2008
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N  96.9W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N  96.9W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9N  96.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 11.3N  98.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 11.7N 101.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 12.3N 103.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 13.0N 105.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 14.5N 108.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 16.5N 111.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 18.0N 114.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.0N  96.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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