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Tropical Storm FAUSTO


ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072008
200 AM PDT TUE JUL 22 2008
 
ALL OF THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH FAUSTO HAS DISSIPATED
DURING THE LAST FEW HOURS AND FAUSTO HAS BEEN REDUCED TO A SWIRL OF
LOW CLOUDS WITH MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL CONVECTIVE DEBRIS.  THE INITIAL
INTENSITY OF 50 KT IS BASED ON AN EARLIER QUIKSCAT PASS BUT THIS
COULD BE A BIT GENEROUS GIVEN THE LACK OF DEEP CONVECTION.  NOW
OVER COLD WATER AND WITH LITTLE CHANCE OF REGENERATING SIGNIFICANT
DEEP CONVECTION...ADDITIONAL WEAKENING OF FAUSTO IS EXPECTED.  IT
WOULD APPEAR THAT THE CYCLONE IS WELL ON ITS WAY TO REMNANT LOW
STATUS. 
 
A COUPLE OF NICE MICROWAVE PASSES INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION IS DECOUPLED FROM AND A LITTLE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUSLY
TRACKED MID-LEVEL CENTER.  THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NOW
280/10 AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS OR UNTIL DISSIPATION.  
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      22/0900Z 20.7N 119.6W    50 KT
 12HR VT     22/1800Z 21.0N 121.0W    40 KT
 24HR VT     23/0600Z 21.5N 122.8W    35 KT
 36HR VT     23/1800Z 22.0N 124.5W    30 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     24/0600Z 22.4N 126.2W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     25/0600Z 23.0N 129.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 96HR VT     26/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Tuesday, 21-Apr-2009 12:09:36 UTC