Tropical Storm ELIDA

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TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062008
1500 UTC SUN JUL 13 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 104.1W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 104.1W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 103.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.9N 106.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.5N 108.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.8N 109.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 17.0N 111.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 17.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 17.5N 119.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 17.5N 122.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 104.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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