Tropical Depression ELIDA

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELIDA DISCUSSION NUMBER  32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062008
200 PM PDT SAT JUL 19 2008
 
ELIDA HAS BEEN DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION FOR ABOUT 12 HOURS
AND...DESPITE MAINTAINING A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION...IS DEEMED TO
NO LONGER QUALIFY AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...SO THIS WILL BE THE LAST
ADVISORY.  MAXIMUM WINDS AT ADVISORY TIME ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KT
BASED ON AN EARLIER QUIKSCAT PASS AT 15Z...WHICH SHOWED 25-30 KT
WINDS THAT DID NOT APPEAR INFLATED BY RAIN.  THE WINDS ASSOCIATED
WITH THE REMNANT LOW ARE LIKELY TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS THE SYSTEM
PROCEEDS WESTWARD.  THE CLOSED CIRCULATION IS FORECAST TO LAST A
FEW MORE DAYS.

THE DISSIPATING DEPRESSION IS MOVING AT ABOUT 260/12...AND A GENERAL
WESTWARD MOTION OF THE REMNANT LOW SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL THE
CIRCULATION EVENTUALLY OPENS UP INTO A TROUGH IN THE LOW-LEVEL
TRADE WIND FLOW.

 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      19/2100Z 17.4N 133.4W    30 KT...DISSIPATING
 12HR VT     20/0600Z 17.0N 135.3W    30 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     20/1800Z 16.6N 138.1W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     21/0600Z 16.2N 141.4W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     21/1800Z 15.8N 144.6W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     22/1800Z 15.5N 151.5W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 96HR VT     23/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
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FORECASTER KNABB
 
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