ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELIDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 31 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062008 800 AM PDT SAT JUL 19 2008 DEEP CONVECTION IS GONE AND ELIDA HAS BEEN REDUCED TO A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS AND CIRRUS DEBRIS. THE SYSTEM IS OVER RATHER COOL WATERS AND CONVECTION APPEARS UNLIKELY TO RESUME TODAY...SO ELIDA WILL LIKELY BE DECLARED A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY. ELIDA CONTINUES MOVING GENERALLY WESTWARD OR 265/10. LITTLE CHANGE IN THE HEADING WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM SLIDES ALONG IN THE LOW-LEVEL TRADE WIND FLOW. IT IS UNCERTAIN JUST HOW LONG A CLOSED CIRCULATION WILL LAST...BUT BASED ON THE MODEL GUIDANCE THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CARRIES A REMNANT LOW THROUGH 72 HOURS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/1500Z 17.8N 132.1W 30 KT 12HR VT 20/0000Z 17.7N 133.7W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 20/1200Z 17.4N 136.3W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 21/0000Z 16.9N 139.2W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 21/1200Z 16.6N 142.3W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 22/1200Z 16.5N 149.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER KNABB NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Tuesday, 21-Apr-2009 12:09:34 UTC