Tropical Depression DOUGLAS
ZCZC MIATCDEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOUGLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042008
800 AM PDT THU JUL 03 2008
DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH DOUGLAS HAS VANISHED AND ALL IS LEFT
IS A CIRCULATION OF LOW TO MID-LEVEL CLOUDS. INITIAL INTENSITY HAS
BEEN LOWERED TO 30 KNOTS. BECAUSE THE SYSTEM IS HEADING TOWARD
INCREASINGLY COOLER WATERS...ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS INDICATED.
DOUGLAS IS EXPECTED TO BE A REMNANT LOW IN LESS THAN 24 HOURS.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 7
KNOTS. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST IS FORECAST AS THE CYCLONE
WEAKENS AND BECOME STEERED BY THE LOW LEVEL FLOW.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 03/1500Z 20.1N 109.5W 30 KT
12HR VT 04/0000Z 20.5N 110.5W 25 KT
24HR VT 04/1200Z 20.5N 111.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 05/0000Z 20.6N 112.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 05/1200Z 20.5N 113.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED
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FORECASTER AVILA
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