ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM BORIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022008 200 PM PDT WED JUL 02 2008 BORIS IS WEAKENING QUICKLY. A QUIKSCAT PASS FROM 14Z SHOWED NO BELIEVABLE VECTORS HIGHER THAN 50 KT. CLOUD TOPS HAVE CONTINUED TO WARM TODAY AND THE EYE HAS FILLED IN. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 50 KT BASED ON THE QUIKSCAT PASS. WITH SSTS NO HIGHER THAN 24C ALONG THE PROJECTED TRACK...A CONTINUED WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED UNTIL BORIS DEGENERATES TO A REMNANT LOW IN 48 HOURS...OR LESS. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 310/8. AS BORIS DECAYS OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...A RETURN TO A WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST TRACK IS EXPECTED IN RESPONSE TO MORE LOW-LEVEL STEERING. THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK FORECAST...WHICH IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH A BLEND OF THE UKMET...MEDIUM BAM...AND SHALLOW BAM. THESE MODELS ARE FASTER THAN MOST OF THE REST OF THE GUIDANCE. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/2100Z 16.9N 127.8W 50 KT 12HR VT 03/0600Z 17.3N 128.8W 40 KT 24HR VT 03/1800Z 17.5N 129.8W 35 KT 36HR VT 04/0600Z 17.4N 130.8W 30 KT 48HR VT 04/1800Z 17.2N 132.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 05/1800Z 16.5N 134.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 06/1800Z 15.5N 138.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 07/1800Z 14.5N 141.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Tuesday, 21-Apr-2009 12:09:30 UTC