Tropical Depression SEVENTEEN

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172008
0300 UTC THU NOV 06 2008
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUERTO CABEZAS
NICARAGUA NORTHWARD TO LIMON HONDURAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  82.1W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  82.1W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  82.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 14.8N  82.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.6N  82.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.4N  83.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.3N  83.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.0N  82.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 85NE  85SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 20.5N  79.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 23.5N  74.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N  82.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/STEWART
 
 
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