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Hurricane OMAR (Text)

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HURRICANE OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
0300 UTC THU OCT 16 2008
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE
ISLANDS OF VIEQUES AND CULEBRA.  A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN
EFFECT FOR ST. MARTIN/MAARTEN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...ST.
BARTHELEMY...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND ANGUILLA.  A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
PUERTO RICO...AND ALSO FOR THE ISLANDS OF ST. KITTS AND NEVIS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE..WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...AND
MONTSERRAT.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GUADELOUPE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  64.5W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  967 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  64.5W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  65.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.4N  63.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 125SE 100SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.2N  61.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 125SE 100SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 25.0N  59.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 125SE 100SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 27.6N  57.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 34.0N  53.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  75SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE 150SE 125SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 41.0N  41.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 47.0N  25.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N  64.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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