Hurricane OMAR

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HURRICANE OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
1500 UTC WED OCT 15 2008
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE
ISLANDS OF VIEQUES AND CULEBRA.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR ST. MARTIN/MAARTEN...
SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...ST. BARTHELEMY...THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS...ANGUILLA...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...AND
MONTSERRAT.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
PUERTO RICO.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PUERTO RICO LATER TODAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  67.2W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  45SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE 100SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  67.2W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N  67.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.6N  65.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.1N  63.9W...NRN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.0N  61.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 24.7N  60.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 30.0N  56.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 37.0N  48.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 45.0N  32.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N  67.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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