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Tropical Storm KYLE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM KYLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7             
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112008               
0900 UTC SAT SEP 27 2008                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       X       X       X       3      12      NA      NA
TROP DEPRESSION  X       1       2      11      24      NA      NA
TROPICAL STORM  41      27      35      57      47      NA      NA
HURRICANE       59      72      63      29      17      NA      NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1       57      59      48      23      13      NA      NA
HUR CAT 2        2      10      12       5       3      NA      NA
HUR CAT 3        X       2       2       1       1      NA      NA
HUR CAT 4        X       X       1       X       X      NA      NA
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X      NA      NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   65KT    70KT    70KT    60KT    40KT    NA      NA  
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  19(22)   X(22)   X(22)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)  14(31)   X(31)   X(31)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  14(22)   X(22)   X(22)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   5(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   7( 7)  34(41)   9(50)   X(50)   X(50)
HALIFAX NS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)
HALIFAX NS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)  27(27)  37(64)   5(69)   X(69)   X(69)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   3( 3)  26(29)   3(32)   X(32)   X(32)
YARMOUTH NS    64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  36(38)  19(57)   X(57)   X(57)
MONCTON NB     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  13(22)   X(22)   X(22)
MONCTON NB     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   8( 8)  41(49)  12(61)   X(61)   X(61)
ST JOHN NB     50  X   X( X)   X( X)  17(17)   8(25)   X(25)   X(25)
ST JOHN NB     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)  12(12)  41(53)   7(60)   X(60)   X(60)
EASTPORT ME    50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  17(18)   6(24)   X(24)   X(24)
EASTPORT ME    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)  16(16)  30(46)   5(51)   X(51)   X(51)
BAR HARBOR ME  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)   3(18)   X(18)   X(18)
BAR HARBOR ME  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)  12(12)  18(30)   3(33)   X(33)   X(33)
AUGUSTA ME     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
AUGUSTA ME     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)  13(13)  12(25)   3(28)   X(28)   X(28)
PORTLAND ME    50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
PORTLAND ME    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
CONCORD NH     34  X   X( X)   9( 9)   7(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X   1( 1)  17(18)   7(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
BOSTON MA      50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
BOSTON MA      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   2( 2)  31(33)   7(40)   1(41)   X(41)   X(41)
HYANNIS MA     50  X   X( X)   9( 9)   5(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
HYANNIS MA     64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   4( 4)  37(41)   6(47)   1(48)   X(48)   X(48)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   X( X)  15(15)   3(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
NANTUCKET MA   64  X   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   2( 2)  17(19)   4(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)
PROVIDENCE RI  50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
PROVIDENCE RI  64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
HARTFORD CT    34  X   1( 1)   8( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   2( 2)  14(16)   2(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)
MONTAUK POINT  50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
DOVER DE       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BERMUDA        34  8   4(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
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