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Tropical Storm KYLE


ZCZC MIATCDAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM KYLE DISCUSSION NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112008
1100 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008
 
SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW LITTLE OR NO DEEP CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH KYLE...AND THE SYSTEM WAS UNCLASSIFIABLE USING THE
DVORAK TECHNIQUE.  CONSEQUENTLY...KYLE IS CONSIDERED TO BE
EXTRATROPICAL AND THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY.  A QUIKSCAT PASS
AT 23Z SHOWED ONE HURRICANE FORCE WIND VECTOR.  THE MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE ASSUMED TO HAVE DECREASED A BIT OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS AND
ARE NOW ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KT.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS
THE SYSTEM MOVES INLAND OVER NEW BRUNSWICK.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 010/23...WHICH IS LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK. 
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST OF KYLE IS BEING ERODED BY THE LARGE LOW
OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...AND AS A MID-LATITUDE SHORT WAVE
BYPASSES KYLE TO THE NORTH ITS FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO
SLOW OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  THE MODELS SEEM TO HAVE MISSED THE
MORE NORTHWARD TURN THIS EVENING...AND AS A RESULT I'VE PLACED THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST ON THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE...IN
BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE 18Z UKMET.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      29/0300Z 44.8N  65.9W    60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 12HR VT     29/1200Z 47.2N  64.6W    50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 24HR VT     30/0000Z 49.5N  63.7W    40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 36HR VT     30/1200Z 50.6N  63.7W    30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 48HR VT     01/0000Z 51.5N  64.0W    25 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 72HR VT     02/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Tuesday, 21-Apr-2009 12:09:23 UTC