Hurricane IKE

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HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  40
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
0300 UTC THU SEP 11 2008
 
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WEST OF KEY
WEST TO DRY TORTUGAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER WESTWARD TO EAST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAMERON LOUISIANA WESTWARD
TO PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.9N  86.7W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  944 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT.......100NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.
50 KT.......150NE 110SE  90SW 140NW.
34 KT.......200NE 150SE 120SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 210SE 240SW 375NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.9N  86.7W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  86.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 25.4N  88.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT...100NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.
50 KT...150NE 110SE  90SW 140NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 120SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 26.0N  90.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  50SE  50SW  90NW.
50 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 140SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 26.7N  92.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  50SE  50SW  90NW.
50 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 140SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 27.7N  94.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 140SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 31.5N  96.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 36.0N  93.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z...ABSORBED INTO FRONTAL ZONE
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.9N  86.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
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