| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

---

Hurricane IKE (Text)

ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
2100 UTC MON SEP 08 2008
 
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
 
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ANDROS AND RAGGED
ISLANDS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA... HOLGUIN...LAS TUNAS AND
GRANMA...CAMAGUEY...CIEGO DE AVILA....VILLA CLARA...SANCTI
SPIRITUS...CIENFUEGOS...MATANZAS...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE
HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR LITTLE CAYMAN AND CAYMAN
BRAC.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN
REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN.
 
INTERESTS IN SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF IKE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  79.7W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  75SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  79.7W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  79.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 21.8N  81.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 22.6N  83.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  90SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.6N  84.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  90SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 24.4N  86.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 25.5N  89.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 120SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 27.0N  92.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 29.0N  96.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N  79.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/AVILA
 
 
NNNN