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Hurricane IKE (Text)

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HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
2100 UTC SAT SEP 06 2008
 
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED
A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT
ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG  ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.
 
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE
CUBA...AND HOLGUIN.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...
CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED
ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO WESTWARD TO THE
NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN
PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BOARDER WITH THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC TO GONAIVES.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LAS
TUNAS AND CAMAGUEY.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE BAHAMAS...CUBA...SOUTH
FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  69.7W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  949 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  70SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE  90SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  69.7W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  69.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 21.2N  71.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  55SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 21.1N  74.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  40SW  45NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.2N  76.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  40SW  45NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.7N  78.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 23.0N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 25.0N  85.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 26.5N  87.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N  69.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/BEVEN
 
 
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