Hurricane IKE

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HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
1500 UTC SAT SEP 06 2008
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA INCLUDING THE
PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...HOLGUIN...LAS TUNAS...SANTIAGO DE
CUBA...GRANMA...CAMAGUEY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO WESTWARD TO THE
NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN PENINSULA OF
HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO
GONAIVES.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.  A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE BAHAMAS...CUBA...SOUTH
FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  68.8W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE  90SW 105NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 150SE  90SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  68.8W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  67.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 21.4N  70.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 21.2N  72.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 21.2N  75.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.5N  77.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 23.0N  81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 24.5N  84.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 26.0N  86.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N  68.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
 
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FORECASTER RHOME
 
 
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