Hurricane IKE

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HURRICANE IKE SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
0000 UTC THU SEP 04 2008
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N  53.2W AT 04/0000Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......140NE 100SE  75SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE  75SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N  53.2W AT 04/0000Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  51.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 22.6N  55.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 23.8N  57.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 24.3N  60.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 23.8N  63.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 22.5N  68.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 22.5N  72.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 23.5N  76.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N  53.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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