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TROPICAL STORM HANNA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
1500 UTC THU SEP 04 2008
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED X X X 2 21 26 25
TROP DEPRESSION 1 2 4 8 29 24 18
TROPICAL STORM 82 59 46 53 42 41 40
HURRICANE 17 39 50 37 8 10 17
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 16 35 40 29 7 8 14
HUR CAT 2 1 3 7 6 1 1 2
HUR CAT 3 X 1 3 2 X X 1
HUR CAT 4 X X 1 1 X X X
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 55KT 60KT 65KT 55KT 40KT 40KT 45KT
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 7(14)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 3(15)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 2(17)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 2(19)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 1(16)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 1(19)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)
EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 1(18)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) X(15)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 15(20) 1(21)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 10(20) X(20)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 1(16)
MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 10(16) X(16)
ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
ST JOHN NB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 8(16) X(16)
EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 6(15) X(15)
BAR HARBOR ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
BAR HARBOR ME 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) X(12)
AUGUSTA ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 2(13) X(13)
PORTLAND ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 2(12) X(12)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 2(18) X(18)
BOSTON MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BOSTON MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 3(23) X(23)
HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 1(24) X(24)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 2(21) X(21)
PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
PROVIDENCE RI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 2(17) X(17)
HARTFORD CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 2(24) X(24)
MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MONTAUK POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 1(22) X(22)
NEW YORK CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) X(18) X(18)
NEWARK NJ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) 1(19) X(19)
TRENTON NJ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 21(27) X(27) X(27)
ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ATLANTIC CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 12(20) X(20) X(20)
BALTIMORE MD 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 19(28) X(28) X(28)
DOVER DE 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
DOVER DE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 13(24) X(24) X(24)
ANNAPOLIS MD 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ANNAPOLIS MD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 11(22) X(22) X(22)
WASHINGTON DC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 15(15) 24(39) X(39) X(39)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) X(12) X(12)
OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 10(37) X(37) X(37)
RICHMOND VA 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) X(10) X(10)
RICHMOND VA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 32(35) 16(51) X(51) X(51)
NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 9(17) X(17) X(17)
NORFOLK VA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22)
GREENSBORO NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 30(39) 3(42) X(42) X(42)
RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12)
RALEIGH NC 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 13(13) 37(50) 10(60) X(60) X(60)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 16(16) 5(21) X(21) X(21)
CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18)
CHARLOTTE NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 1( 1) 23(24) 39(63) 6(69) X(69) X(69)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 23(25) 2(27) X(27) X(27)
MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X 1( 1) 31(32) 34(66) 2(68) X(68) X(68)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 25(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31)
WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) 13(13) 10(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 2( 2) 37(39) 23(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) 10(10) 15(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26)
MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X 3( 3) 32(35) 11(46) 1(47) X(47) X(47)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 7(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X 2( 2) 15(17) 5(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
JACKSONVILLE 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X 5( 5) 5(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
ORLANDO FL 34 X 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X 6( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
FT PIERCE FL 34 1 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
W PALM BEACH 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MIAMI FL 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
TAMPA FL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 5 6(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 4 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ANDROS 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GREAT EXUMA 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAN SALVADOR 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MAYAGUANA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
NNNN
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Page last modified: Tuesday, 21-Apr-2009 12:09:18 UTC