ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM HANNA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008 0300 UTC FRI AUG 29 2008 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED X 1 1 X X 1 3 TROP DEPRESSION 2 3 5 2 3 3 7 TROPICAL STORM 90 72 55 36 22 25 34 HURRICANE 7 24 39 62 75 71 56 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 6 22 33 40 34 31 28 HUR CAT 2 1 2 4 15 23 20 15 HUR CAT 3 1 X 2 5 14 15 11 HUR CAT 4 X X X 2 4 4 2 HUR CAT 5 X X X X 1 1 X - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 50KT 55KT 60KT 70KT 80KT 80KT 75KT II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) FT PIERCE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) W PALM BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) MIAMI FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) MARCO ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 7(15) GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) GRAND BAHAMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 8(17) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 8(14) ANDROS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) ANDROS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 8(17) GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 9(16) 8(24) SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 6(12) 7(19) MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 5(12) 5(17) GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) KINGSTON 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) SAINT THOMAS 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART/BEVEN NNNN
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Page last modified: Tuesday, 21-Apr-2009 12:09:18 UTC