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Tropical Storm HANNA


ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM HANNA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3            
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082008               
2100 UTC THU AUG 28 2008                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       1       2       2       1       1       2       5
TROP DEPRESSION 32      20      11       6       4       5      11
TROPICAL STORM  66      73      68      49      33      34      41
HURRICANE        1       5      20      44      62      59      44
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1        1       4      16      32      36      33      25
HUR CAT 2        X       X       2       8      15      15      11
HUR CAT 3        X       X       1       3       9       9       6
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       1       3       2       2
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   35KT    40KT    50KT    60KT    70KT    70KT    65KT
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
DAYTONA BEACH  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
MIAMI FL       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
MARCO ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
FT MYERS FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
VENICE FL      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
TAMPA FL       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   4( 9)   3(12)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
BERMUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
 
NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)
 
ANDROS         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
ANDROS         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
GREAT EXUMA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)
GREAT EXUMA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   4(12)
SAN SALVADOR   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
SAN SALVADOR   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
MAYAGUANA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   3(10)
MAYAGUANA      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
MAYAGUANA      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
GRAND TURK     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)
 
CAMAGUEY       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
GUANTANAMO BAY 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
PUERTO PLATA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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