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Hurricane GUSTAV (Text)

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HURRICANE GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072008
1500 UTC SUN AUG 31 2008
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
FROM CAMERON LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER...
INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.  A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF THE
ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER....AND FROM WEST OF
CAMERON LOUISIANA TO JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA
TO JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS.   A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA
KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  86.0W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  962 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT.......120NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT.......175NE 140SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 300SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  86.0W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N  85.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 27.0N  87.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT...120NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...175NE 140SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 28.6N  89.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  45SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...120NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 130SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 30.0N  91.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  45SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...120NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 130SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 31.1N  93.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 32.0N  94.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 32.0N  95.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 32.0N  95.9W...INLAND REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N  86.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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