Tropical Storm GUSTAV

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TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072008
0900 UTC WED AUG 27 2008
 
AT 5 AM...0900 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR HAITI FROM THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC-HAITI BORDER WESTWARD TO LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS HAS
BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC-HAITI BORDER
WESTWARD TO LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 5 AM...THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS TO
THE NORTHERN HAITI/DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR
HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS TO THE NORTHERN HAITI/DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
AT 5 AM...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR JAMAICA.  A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF
GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GRANMA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LAS
TUNAS AND HOLGUIN AND ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUSTAV.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  73.5W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  73.5W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  73.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 19.0N  74.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.1N  75.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.2N  77.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 85NE  85SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 19.6N  78.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  55SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  85NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 21.0N  82.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW  95NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 23.5N  86.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 125 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 27.0N  89.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 125 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N  73.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA
 
 
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