Tropical Storm GUSTAV

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TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072008
1800 UTC MON AUG 25 2008
 
AT 2 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
HAS UPGRADED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR
THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SANTO DOMINGO
WESTWARD TO THE SOUTHERN BORDER OF HAITI.
 
AT 2 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
SOUTHWEST PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE SOUTHERN BORDER WITH THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND PORT-AU-PRINCE WESTWARD HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO
A HURRICANE WARNING.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 2 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN CHANGED
TO A HURRICANE WATCH FOR HAITI FROM NORTH OF PORT-AU-PRINCE TO THE
NORTHERN BORDER OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  70.5W AT 25/1800Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  70.5W AT 25/1800Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  69.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.5N  71.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.6N  72.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 18.8N  73.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 19.7N  74.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.0N  75.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 22.0N  77.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 22.5N  78.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N  70.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH
 
 
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