Tropical Storm FAY

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TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
0300 UTC SUN AUG 17 2008
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE
PROVINCE OF SANCTI SPIRITUS EASTWARD TO GUANTANAMO...AND ALSO FOR
CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF
MATANZAS EASTWARD TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
JAMAICA...AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR HAITI HAS
BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  76.3W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  76.3W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  75.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.0N  78.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.5N  80.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 23.0N  81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  25SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.5N  82.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 27.8N  82.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 31.0N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 34.0N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  76.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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