Tropical Storm EDOUARD
ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052008
2100 UTC MON AUG 04 2008
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED X X 6 32 X X X
TROP DEPRESSION 4 6 30 45 X X X
TROPICAL STORM 90 72 60 23 X X X
HURRICANE 6 22 4 1 X X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 5 19 4 1 X X X
HUR CAT 2 X 3 X X X X X
HUR CAT 3 X X X X X X X
HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 50KT 60KT 40KT 25KT 0KT 0KT 0KT
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GULFPORT MS 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BURAS LA 34 6 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
JACKSON MS 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 10 4(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 15 5(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 37 7(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 55 12(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
GFMX 280N 930W 50 6 4(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
SHREVEPORT LA 34 2 12(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 31 39(70) 3(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50 1 19(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
PORT ARTHUR TX 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GALVESTON TX 34 20 53(73) 3(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76)
GALVESTON TX 50 1 24(25) 4(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
GALVESTON TX 64 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
HOUSTON TX 34 10 52(62) 8(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
HOUSTON TX 50 X 20(20) 7(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
HOUSTON TX 64 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
AUSTIN TX 34 1 13(14) 14(28) 3(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
AUSTIN TX 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAN ANTONIO TX 34 X 7( 7) 6(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
FREEPORT TX 34 11 45(56) 7(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63)
FREEPORT TX 50 X 16(16) 4(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
FREEPORT TX 64 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 9 23(32) 3(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
GFMX 280N 950W 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PORT O CONNOR 34 2 19(21) 5(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
PORT O CONNOR 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 1 5( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 1 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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