Tropical Depression THREE
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032008
1500 UTC SAT JUL 19 2008
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED 2 5 6 8 13 X X
TROP DEPRESSION 48 31 23 22 21 X X
TROPICAL STORM 50 62 64 59 52 X X
HURRICANE X 2 8 10 15 X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 X 2 7 9 12 X X
HUR CAT 2 X X 1 1 2 X X
HUR CAT 3 X X X X 1 X X
HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35KT 40KT 45KT 45KT 45KT 0KT 0KT
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11)
HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) X(15) X(15)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10)
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) X(11) X(11)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13)
RICHMOND VA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NORFOLK VA 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) 5(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16)
RALEIGH NC 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 1 14(15) 23(38) 4(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 4 23(27) 10(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MOREHEAD CITY 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
WILMINGTON NC 34 8 11(19) 5(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 6 5(11) 1(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
CHARLESTON SC 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
NNNN
NHC on Facebook
Twitter
YouTube
NHC Blog: