Hurricane BERTHA

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HURRICANE BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER  41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022008
500 AM AST SUN JUL 13 2008

...BERTHA REMAINS STATIONARY...COULD WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM
TODAY...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERTHA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.5 WEST OR ABOUT 220 MILES...
355 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.
 
BERTHA IS CURRENTLY NEARLY STATIONARY.  A DRIFT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST
IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY PASS NOT FAR TO
THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST OF BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...ALTHOUGH THE MOTION COULD BE ERRATIC AT TIMES AND COULD
BRING THE CENTER OF BERTHA CLOSER TO BERMUDA THAN THE FORECAST
TRACK INDICATES.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  BERTHA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  A SLIGHT WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND BERTHA COULD WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.
 
LARGE SWELLS AND HIGH SURF ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA...AND THESE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
THE OUTER BANDS OF BERTHA COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN BERMUDA
OF 2 TO 4 INCHES DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...29.8 N...62.5 W.  MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...985 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
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