Tropical Storm BERTHA

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TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  48
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022008
0300 UTC TUE JUL 15 2008
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS
DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR BERMUDA...BUT A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N  63.7W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE  90SW 140NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N  63.7W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.4N  63.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 34.9N  63.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 35.7N  61.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 35.4N  60.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 34.4N  59.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 33.5N  55.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 36.0N  52.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 39.5N  49.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.8N  63.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
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