Hurricane BERTHA

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HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022008
1500 UTC SAT JUL 12 2008
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  62.6W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  62.6W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  62.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 30.2N  62.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 30.7N  62.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 31.3N  62.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 32.0N  62.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 34.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 35.5N  60.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 36.0N  58.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.9N  62.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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